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Could This Time Be Different?

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History suggests a sustained new bull market in stocks rarely starts from such expensive levels or before the economy bottoms, though some investors wonder if this time is different. In our Quarterly Market & Economic Report, we posit that at least a short and shallow recession will ensue as the economy slows further. Our models continue to call for caution and selectivity in public markets while positioning ourselves to take advantage of credit opportunities and scarcer capital in private markets.

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A Path to Normalcy

Each quarter, our Investment Strategy Team reflects on what's happened in the economy and markets, shares what we're paying attention to for the quarter ahead, and gives our take on why it matters to investors. In Q3, we believe markets are finally headed back to normal after several unusual years post-pandemic. Read more in our Market & Economic Report.